Forecast: Facebook to Lose 80% of Users by 2017


Fri, Jan 24th, 2014 11:00 by capnasty NEWS

Princeton University researchers say that although "Facebook has spread like an infectious disease," users are "slowly becoming immune to its attractions," and the popular social media's site will "be largely abandoned by 2017."

The forecast of Facebook's impending doom was made by comparing the growth curve of epidemics to those of online social networks. Scientists argue that, like bubonic plague, Facebook will eventually die out.

The social network, which celebrates its 10th birthday on 4 February, has survived longer than rivals such as Myspace and Bebo, but the Princeton forecast says it will lose 80% of its peak user base within the next three years.

John Cannarella and Joshua Spechler, from the US university's mechanical and aerospace engineering department, have based their prediction on the number of times Facebook is typed into Google as a search term. The charts produced by the Google Trends service show Facebook searches peaked in December 2012 and have since begun to trail off.



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