Noting the advances in DNA sequencing and tools such as CRISPR for target editing of the human genome, Nautilus' Stephen Hsu opines that by 2050 there will probably be human beings with an IQ equivalent of 1,000, possibly working together with "sentient beings of many different types."
These two threads—smarter people and smarter machines—will inevitably intersect. Just as machines will be much smarter in 2050, we can expect that the humans who design, build, and program them will also be smarter. Naively, one would expect the rate of advance of machine intelligence to outstrip that of biological intelligence. Tinkering with a machine seems easier than modifying a living species, one generation at a time. But advances in genomics—both in our ability to relate complex traits to the underlying genetic codes, and the ability to make direct edits to genomes—will allow rapid advances in biologically-based cognition. Also, once machines reach human levels of intelligence, our ability to tinker starts to be limited by ethical considerations. Rebooting an operating system is one thing, but what about a sentient being with memories and a sense of free will?
Therefore, the answer to the question “Will AI or genetic modification have the greater impact in the year 2050?” is yes. Considering one without the other neglects an important interaction.
|The House With a Twitter Voice|
|Google Announces Android Wearables|
|"Synthetic biology is the realm of creating life from scratch."|
|How Many Earths?|
|"New drugs [...] appear to vastly reduce the need for sleep without significant side effects."|
|Folding Laundry Without Arms or Legs|
|“[T]here has never been this kind of financial incentive to make shorter songs.”|
|CaptchaTweet: Write Tweets in Captcha Form|
|How to Avoid Jury Duty|
|“A short cut through spacetime allowing for travel over cosmic scale distances in a short period.”|
|“If you fell asleep in 1945 and woke up in 2018 you would not recognize the world around you.”|
|Recycled Vacuum Lamps|
|Google Map Shows You the Most Photographed Areas of the World|
|The (Very Scary) People of Public Transit|
|“Reliably bottling up miniature stars, inside complex machines on Earth, demands otherworldly amounts of patience.”|
|Time Lapse of Planet Earth as Seen from the Space Station|