With "the risk of renewed hostilities" in the Korean Peninsula, which appear "higher than at any time in the past 60 years," Patrick M. Cronin of Foreign Policy wonders what the war between the Koreas would look like.
There is no single red line that, when crossed, would trigger war, but the potential for miscalculation and escalation is high. North Korea has a penchant for causing international incidents -- in 2010 alone it used a mini-submarine to sink the South Korean naval vessel Cheonan and shelled South Korea's Yeonpyeong Island. The brazen and unprovoked killing of military personnel and civilians shocked many South Koreans, some of whom faulted then-President Lee Myung Bak for a tepid response. The new president, Park Geun Hye (South Korea's "Iron Lady") is determined not to echo that weakness and has vowed a strong response to any direct provocation. Meanwhile, the United States, via the annual Foal Eagle and Key Resolve exercises, has many troops, ships, and planes on maneuvers in the region and, as an additional show of resolve, flew long-range B-2 stealth bombers from Missouri to Korea and dispatched F-22 fighter jets as well.
The desire to show strength, the fear of looking weak, and the presence of tons of hardware provides more than enough tinder that a spark could start a peninsula-wide conflagration. An accident -- such as a straying missile, an incident at sea or in the air, a shooting near the Northern Limit Line or the Demilitarized Zone -- could trigger an action-reaction cycle that could spiral out of control if Pyongyang, running out of threats or low-level provocations, were to gamble on a more daring move. It might calculate that a bold gesture would sow doubt and dissent in South Korea, drive a risk-averse United States to back down and restrain its eager ally, and hand China a fait accompli in which Beijing has no alternative to protecting its upstart neighbor. It might be very wrong.
|Fighter Jet Built Using Off-the-Shelves Components|
|"The United States has opened the Pandora’s Box of mercenarianism."|
|"It was a suicide mission. None of them had a doubt about that."|
|"If you believe the guys who are in this trial, nobody is fighting in Syria. Everybody's cooking."|
|World Peace is Closer Than You Think|
|“The greatest economic crisis of our age: the one still awaiting us.”|
|"Cells have the capacity to process and respond to instructions and codes inputted into their main system."|
|Making a Movie Inside a Video Game|
|How to Avoid Jury Duty|
|“If you don’t remember any of these countries from geography class, you’re not alone.”|
|“Clicking on a Facebook advert may reveal things about yourself you don’t want anyone to know.”|
|Google Map Shows You the Most Photographed Areas of the World|
|"They’ve managed to plant, tend, and harvest an acre and a half of barley using only autonomous vehicles."|
|“Instead of consuming fossil fuels, it would then feed surplus electricity into the grid.”|
|“Any person, organization or government serious about web security should return to plain-text.”|